718 WTNT80 EGRR 070359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.11.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 85.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.11.2020 17.6N 85.6W WEAK 12UTC 07.11.2020 17.6N 83.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2020 18.9N 80.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.11.2020 19.8N 80.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.11.2020 20.5N 78.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 8.8N 143.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.11.2020 8.8N 144.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.11.2020 8.6N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2020 8.5N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2020 9.1N 149.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.11.2020 9.5N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 31.2N 29.0E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.11.2020 31.0N 28.6E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.11.2020 30.7N 28.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2020 31.7N 29.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2020 33.1N 28.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.11.2020 34.1N 27.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.11.2020 33.4N 26.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.11.2020 32.6N 25.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.11.2020 31.9N 26.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.11.2020 31.7N 27.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2020 31.4N 27.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 22.6N 79.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.11.2020 23.5N 80.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.11.2020 24.7N 82.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.11.2020 25.2N 84.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.11.2020 24.7N 85.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.11.2020 23.5N 84.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.11.2020 22.0N 83.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2020 20.8N 83.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 27.4N 40.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.11.2020 27.4N 40.5W WEAK 12UTC 10.11.2020 28.7N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.11.2020 29.0N 36.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.11.2020 29.7N 34.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.11.2020 31.7N 31.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.11.2020 33.2N 27.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.11.2020 35.2N 21.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 18.5N 100.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.11.2020 18.5N 100.8W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070358