397 WTNT80 EGRR 031602 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.11.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 115.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.11.2020 12.4N 115.1W WEAK 00UTC 04.11.2020 14.6N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2020 16.3N 119.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.11.2020 18.0N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.11.2020 18.8N 122.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.11.2020 19.3N 123.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.11.2020 19.1N 124.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.11.2020 17.8N 125.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE ETA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 83.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.11.2020 13.5N 83.5W INTENSE 00UTC 04.11.2020 13.2N 84.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 04.11.2020 13.4N 86.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.11.2020 13.4N 87.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.11.2020 14.9N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 9.5N 136.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.11.2020 9.5N 136.8W WEAK 12UTC 06.11.2020 9.0N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.11.2020 9.1N 140.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2020 9.2N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2020 9.2N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.11.2020 9.6N 144.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.11.2020 10.0N 146.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2020 10.7N 148.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.6N 92.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.11.2020 11.6N 92.8W WEAK 00UTC 07.11.2020 12.7N 92.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2020 13.3N 92.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2020 14.0N 92.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.11.2020 14.2N 91.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 031602