041 
WTNT80 EGRR 030401

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.11.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 115.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.11.2020  12.4N 115.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.3N  82.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.11.2020  14.3N  82.5W   INTENSE
 12UTC 03.11.2020  13.8N  83.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.11.2020  13.6N  84.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.11.2020  13.1N  86.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2020  13.2N  88.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2020  12.7N  91.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  11.9N  92.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020  11.8N  92.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020  12.8N  92.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020  13.6N  92.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2020  13.9N  93.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.11.2020  14.1N  92.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 15.3N 118.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.11.2020  15.9N 119.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.11.2020  17.8N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2020  18.6N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  19.5N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020  18.9N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020  17.8N 125.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 :  9.9N 135.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2020   9.8N 136.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020   9.7N 137.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020   9.4N 138.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020   9.5N 140.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030401