842 
WTNT80 EGRR 020358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.11.2020

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N  79.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2020  14.9N  79.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.11.2020  14.5N  81.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2020  13.7N  82.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.11.2020  13.4N  83.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.11.2020  13.2N  84.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.11.2020  12.8N  85.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2020  12.8N  87.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2020  12.8N  89.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  12.5N  90.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020  12.8N  89.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 16.2N 118.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.11.2020  17.1N 118.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.11.2020  19.3N 120.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2020  20.0N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  20.0N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020  19.3N 123.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.2N 133.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.11.2020  10.0N 134.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.11.2020  10.0N 135.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020   9.6N 137.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 26.7N  88.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.11.2020  25.8N  87.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020358