093 
WTNT80 EGRR 011559

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.11.2020

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N  76.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.11.2020  13.7N  76.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.11.2020  14.5N  79.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2020  13.7N  81.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2020  13.0N  82.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2020  13.5N  83.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2020  13.3N  84.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2020  12.7N  86.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.11.2020  12.8N  88.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2020  12.6N  89.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  12.0N  90.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020  12.3N  90.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020  13.7N  89.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 35.1N  32.1E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.11.2020  35.1N  32.1E     WEAK
 00UTC 05.11.2020  35.5N  34.7E     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.11.2020  34.9N  35.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 17.0N 120.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.11.2020  18.0N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2020  18.5N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2020  19.7N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.1N 136.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.11.2020   9.9N 136.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2020   9.5N 137.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2020   9.2N 139.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011559