000
WTNT80 EGRR 200359

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.10.2020

        TROPICAL STORM EPSILON    ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N  55.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL272020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2020  25.3N  55.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  26.3N  55.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  28.0N  56.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.10.2020  28.1N  59.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.10.2020  28.9N  60.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2020  30.6N  61.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.10.2020  32.3N  62.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2020  33.3N  62.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2020  34.5N  63.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2020  35.8N  62.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2020  38.2N  60.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.10.2020  41.4N  55.6W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2020  45.8N  47.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 30.5N 164.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2020  30.5N 164.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.10.2020  32.6N 164.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  36.6N 163.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 32.5N  26.5E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2020  32.5N  26.5E     WEAK
 00UTC 24.10.2020  32.0N  26.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2020  30.3N  26.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 200359