853 
WTNT80 EGRR 170358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.10.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 31.1N  55.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.10.2020  31.1N  55.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 17.10.2020  30.3N  56.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2020  28.6N  56.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2020  27.5N  56.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2020  26.3N  56.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2020  25.8N  55.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  25.7N  55.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  27.5N  54.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  29.7N  55.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 21.10.2020  30.4N  58.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.10.2020  30.6N  60.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.10.2020  30.6N  61.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2020  31.7N  61.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 17.0N 135.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.10.2020  17.5N 136.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.10.2020  19.4N 138.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  21.0N 140.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 28.1N 166.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2020  27.8N 165.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  28.7N 163.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  31.0N 161.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  36.7N 159.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 170358