774 
WTNT80 EGRR 160404

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.10.2020

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 28.7N  57.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.10.2020  28.7N  57.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.10.2020  26.9N  56.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2020  25.6N  56.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2020  25.6N  55.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  24.8N  57.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  25.3N  57.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  26.9N  59.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2020  28.0N  61.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.10.2020  28.6N  63.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 29.7N 166.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.10.2020  29.4N 167.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2020  26.9N 166.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  27.2N 164.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  29.2N 162.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160404