927 
WTNT80 EGRR 151605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT    ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N 116.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.10.2020  25.8N 116.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.6N 132.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.10.2020  11.6N 132.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 17.10.2020  12.5N 133.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2020  14.0N 134.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2020  15.5N 135.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2020  16.8N 137.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2020  18.0N 139.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  18.9N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  20.1N 143.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 25.6N  57.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.10.2020  25.3N  57.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2020  24.5N  58.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2020  23.6N  60.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2020  22.5N  62.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2020  22.4N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2020  22.5N  65.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151605