927 WTNT80 EGRR 151605 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N 116.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2020 25.8N 116.2W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.6N 132.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2020 11.6N 132.5W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2020 12.5N 133.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2020 14.0N 134.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2020 15.5N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2020 16.8N 137.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2020 18.0N 139.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2020 18.9N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2020 20.1N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 25.6N 57.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2020 25.3N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2020 24.5N 58.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2020 23.6N 60.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2020 22.5N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2020 22.4N 63.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2020 22.5N 65.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151605