733 WTNT80 EGRR 131607 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.10.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 110.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2020 18.2N 110.1W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2020 19.2N 111.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.8N 132.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.10.2020 12.8N 133.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.10.2020 12.5N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2020 12.3N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2020 12.2N 139.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2020 12.4N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2020 12.5N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2020 12.8N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2020 13.1N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 29.2N 55.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2020 28.6N 55.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.10.2020 27.2N 56.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2020 25.7N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2020 24.8N 59.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131607