458 
WTNT80 EGRR 071601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2020

        TROPICAL STORM NORBERT    ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 106.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2020  13.8N 106.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2020  13.6N 106.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2020  13.4N 106.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2020  13.4N 106.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2020  13.9N 107.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2020  14.8N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2020  16.3N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2020  17.8N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2020  18.9N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2020  20.0N 111.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2020  20.8N 111.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2020  21.7N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2020  22.8N 112.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE DELTA      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N  87.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL262020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2020  20.9N  87.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 08.10.2020  22.5N  90.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2020  23.9N  92.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2020  25.5N  93.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2020  27.8N  93.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2020  30.9N  92.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.10.2020  33.2N  90.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.10.2020  34.6N  87.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.10.2020  36.5N  84.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2020  38.5N  80.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2020  41.9N  77.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2020  44.7N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.5N 124.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2020  11.5N 124.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2020  13.1N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2020  14.5N 124.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2020  15.0N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2020  15.1N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2020  14.9N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2020  14.3N 129.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2020  14.2N 132.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2020  14.0N 134.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2020  14.1N 137.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2020  14.2N 139.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2020  14.5N 141.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2020  14.4N 143.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071601