874 WTNT80 EGRR 061558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2020 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 106.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2020 14.0N 106.4W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2020 14.2N 106.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2020 14.2N 106.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2020 14.2N 105.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2020 14.3N 105.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2020 14.5N 105.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2020 15.3N 106.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2020 16.6N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2020 18.0N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2020 18.9N 110.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2020 19.0N 111.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2020 18.2N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2020 18.2N 112.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM MARIE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.1N 134.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2020 22.1N 134.6W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2020 22.7N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2020 23.3N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2020 23.4N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2020 23.4N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2020 23.3N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2020 24.4N 141.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2020 25.8N 142.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2020 27.2N 144.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2020 27.8N 147.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2020 28.6N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2020 29.4N 153.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2020 31.1N 154.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE DELTA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 82.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL262020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2020 18.0N 82.3W STRONG 00UTC 07.10.2020 19.2N 84.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2020 21.2N 87.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2020 22.5N 90.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2020 23.8N 92.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2020 25.2N 93.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2020 27.0N 93.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2020 29.5N 92.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2020 32.0N 91.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2020 33.3N 90.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2020 34.9N 87.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2020 38.1N 84.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2020 41.0N 82.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.0N 124.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2020 13.0N 124.0W WEAK 12UTC 08.10.2020 14.7N 123.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2020 14.8N 123.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2020 14.7N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2020 14.1N 125.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2020 13.8N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2020 13.7N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2020 13.7N 131.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2020 13.8N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2020 13.9N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061558