035 
WTNT80 EGRR 021601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L        ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N  84.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2020  17.7N  84.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.10.2020  18.5N  86.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2020  18.9N  87.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2020  19.7N  87.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2020  20.4N  87.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2020  20.5N  87.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE MARIE      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 124.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2020  16.3N 124.1W   INTENSE
 00UTC 03.10.2020  17.3N 125.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2020  18.4N 127.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2020  19.5N 127.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2020  20.2N 128.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2020  20.8N 129.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2020  21.1N 131.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2020  21.7N 132.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.10.2020  22.3N 133.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2020  22.8N 134.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2020  23.6N 135.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2020  24.4N 135.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2020  25.3N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 12.0N 105.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2020  12.0N 105.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2020  13.7N 105.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2020  14.4N 106.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 34.6N  74.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2020  34.6N  74.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2020  36.7N  69.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2020  39.0N  59.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.10.2020  39.9N  51.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2020  43.0N  37.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2020  45.2N  25.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2020  45.6N  15.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021601