947 WTNT80 EGRR 011600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.10.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 82.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.10.2020 12.8N 82.7W WEAK 00UTC 02.10.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE MARIE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 119.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.10.2020 14.7N 119.0W STRONG 00UTC 02.10.2020 15.4N 121.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.10.2020 16.5N 124.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2020 17.6N 126.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2020 18.8N 127.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.10.2020 20.0N 128.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2020 20.8N 130.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.10.2020 21.0N 132.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2020 21.2N 133.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2020 22.0N 135.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2020 23.2N 137.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2020 24.2N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2020 24.7N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.5N 103.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.10.2020 12.1N 104.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.10.2020 13.5N 106.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2020 15.0N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2020 15.5N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2020 15.7N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2020 15.7N 108.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2020 15.8N 107.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 18.6N 50.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2020 19.5N 50.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2020 21.2N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.3N 92.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2020 13.3N 92.7W WEAK NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 21.6N 94.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2020 21.6N 94.5W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011600