502 WTNT80 EGRR 161559 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.09.2020 TROPICAL STORM IANOS ANALYSED POSITION : 35.9N 17.4E ATCF IDENTIFIER : ME012020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 35.9N 17.4E WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 37.0N 17.3E MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 37.5N 18.5E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 37.7N 20.2E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 38.2N 21.5E MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 19.09.2020 37.3N 22.9E WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 36.0N 21.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 33.9N 22.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 40.8N 19.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 40.8N 19.5W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 39.0N 19.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 37.8N 17.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 37.8N 14.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 38.4N 11.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 39.6N 9.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90L ANALYSED POSITION : 20.7N 94.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL902020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 20.7N 94.4W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93C ANALYSED POSITION : 10.1N 151.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP932020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 10.1N 151.6W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 10.6N 154.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 11.6N 156.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 12.5N 159.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 13.3N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.4N 23.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 10.4N 23.4W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE TEDDY ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 49.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 16.2N 49.7W STRONG 00UTC 17.09.2020 17.4N 51.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 18.6N 52.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 19.9N 54.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 21.1N 55.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 22.7N 56.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 24.6N 58.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2020 26.4N 60.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2020 28.0N 62.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2020 29.3N 64.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2020 30.6N 64.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2020 32.2N 63.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2020 35.9N 60.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE PAULETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 42.9N 46.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 42.9N 46.9W STRONG 00UTC 17.09.2020 45.5N 39.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 46.6N 35.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 45.5N 32.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 43.0N 32.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2020 39.5N 33.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 36.9N 33.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 35.0N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2020 33.6N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2020 33.0N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2020 32.8N 34.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2020 33.2N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2020 33.9N 34.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE SALLY ANALYSED POSITION : 30.4N 87.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 30.4N 87.6W STRONG 00UTC 17.09.2020 31.4N 86.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 32.4N 85.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 33.6N 82.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM VICKY ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 34.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL212020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 21.4N 34.4W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 21.9N 36.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 22.0N 37.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 21.5N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 21.1N 41.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 20.5N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KARINA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 123.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2020 22.3N 123.5W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2020 23.2N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 23.8N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 23.8N 127.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 23.3N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 22.4N 95.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2020 22.7N 94.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2020 23.2N 95.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2020 23.9N 96.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 161559