615 WTNT80 EGRR 140359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 28.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 17.1N 28.9W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2020 18.0N 27.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 19.4N 29.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 20.2N 30.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 20.8N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 20.9N 33.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 21.0N 34.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE PAULETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 30.9N 63.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 30.9N 63.6W STRONG 12UTC 14.09.2020 32.8N 64.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 35.0N 64.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 37.2N 60.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 39.5N 54.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 42.0N 48.3W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 44.5N 41.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 45.9N 37.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 45.0N 35.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 43.2N 35.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2020 40.3N 35.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 38.3N 35.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 36.0N 36.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N 38.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 12.6N 38.7W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2020 13.3N 41.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 13.4N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 14.1N 45.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 14.7N 46.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 15.8N 46.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 17.0N 48.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 18.3N 49.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 19.8N 49.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2020 21.0N 51.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 21.7N 52.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2020 22.3N 53.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 22.8N 53.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM KARINA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.6N 116.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 17.6N 116.8W MODERATE 12UTC 14.09.2020 17.8N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 18.9N 119.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 19.9N 121.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 21.3N 122.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 22.6N 123.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 23.8N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 24.4N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 24.2N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 23.9N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM SALLY ANALYSED POSITION : 27.9N 86.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL192020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 27.9N 86.0W MODERATE 12UTC 14.09.2020 28.0N 87.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 28.3N 88.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 28.8N 89.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2020 29.7N 89.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 30.7N 88.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2020 31.8N 87.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2020 32.7N 85.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.2N 47.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2020 27.2N 47.6W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2020 27.3N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 26.4N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 25.8N 50.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 24.5N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.7N 148.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 10.7N 148.4W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2020 10.3N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 10.1N 150.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 10.6N 152.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 11.3N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 11.9N 156.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 12.6N 158.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 13.3N 160.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2020 13.9N 163.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2020 14.4N 166.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 14.8N 169.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 32.3N 16.5E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 32.3N 16.5E WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2020 33.1N 15.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 32.8N 15.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 33.0N 16.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2020 33.5N 18.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2020 35.2N 20.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2020 35.2N 23.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 37.0N 73.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.09.2020 37.0N 73.9W WEAK 00UTC 19.09.2020 37.4N 69.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2020 40.4N 62.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140359