427 WTNT80 EGRR 101600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.09.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.1N 77.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2020 30.1N 77.0W WEAK 00UTC 11.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM RENE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 35.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2020 18.6N 35.6W WEAK 00UTC 11.09.2020 19.5N 37.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2020 20.5N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2020 21.6N 41.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2020 23.2N 43.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2020 25.2N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2020 27.2N 46.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2020 28.4N 45.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2020 28.3N 45.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2020 27.5N 46.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 27.3N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 27.4N 52.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 27.5N 54.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 48.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2020 21.4N 48.9W MODERATE 00UTC 11.09.2020 22.0N 50.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2020 23.0N 52.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2020 24.1N 53.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2020 25.9N 54.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2020 27.8N 56.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2020 29.6N 57.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2020 31.1N 60.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2020 33.2N 62.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.09.2020 35.1N 63.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 36.9N 61.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 39.1N 55.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2020 40.8N 46.8W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 10.3N 148.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 10.4N 148.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2020 10.3N 150.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 10.5N 152.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 11.1N 153.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 29.5N 88.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 29.8N 89.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2020 30.3N 90.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 30.6N 91.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 16.9N 40.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2020 16.9N 40.8W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2020 18.1N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2020 19.8N 44.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2020 21.3N 45.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101600