531 
WTNT80 EGRR 190406

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.08.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N  41.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2020  11.2N  41.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N  68.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2020  13.5N  68.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE GENEVIEVE  ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 109.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2020  19.4N 109.1W   INTENSE
 12UTC 19.08.2020  20.7N 110.3W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2020  21.7N 110.7W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2020  22.9N 111.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2020  24.0N 112.9W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2020  25.3N 114.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.08.2020  26.6N 117.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.08.2020  27.2N 119.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2020  28.4N 121.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2020  28.8N 122.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2020  29.5N 122.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.08.2020  30.6N 120.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.6N 141.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.08.2020  11.7N 141.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.08.2020  11.9N 140.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2020  12.3N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2020  12.5N 142.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2020  13.1N 142.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2020  14.1N 143.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2020  14.7N 144.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2020  15.3N 145.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.3N 179.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.08.2020  13.3N 179.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.08.2020  14.8N 179.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2020  15.4N 178.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2020  16.2N 176.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2020  17.1N 175.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2020  18.0N 173.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2020  18.5N 171.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2020  18.7N 170.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 20.9N  69.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2020  21.4N  71.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2020  22.7N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2020  24.2N  79.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2020  26.2N  82.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190406