522 WTNT80 EGRR 150403 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.08.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 8.7N 89.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 8.7N 89.7W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 111.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 20.4N 111.8W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 116.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 14.7N 116.0W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 17.0N 116.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2020 18.2N 117.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 21.8N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 23.8N 122.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 24.7N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 25.5N 126.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 25.6N 127.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 56.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 17.5N 56.5W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N 133.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 13.6N 133.1W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 13.6N 133.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2020 13.7N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 14.1N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 14.8N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 15.3N 134.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 15.7N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 15.8N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 15.6N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2020 14.9N 138.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2020 13.9N 139.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 12.5N 140.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.08.2020 11.1N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM KYLE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.9N 70.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2020 37.9N 70.9W WEAK 12UTC 15.08.2020 38.8N 67.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2020 39.4N 63.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 39.7N 60.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 40.0N 56.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 12.3N 151.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.08.2020 12.2N 152.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.08.2020 12.3N 154.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 12.1N 156.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 11.8N 158.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 11.9N 160.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 11.7N 162.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 11.7N 164.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.7N 141.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2020 10.3N 141.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 10.2N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 10.1N 142.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 10.8N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 11.6N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 13.0N 144.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 14.3N 145.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2020 15.3N 146.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2020 15.9N 148.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.5N 93.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.08.2020 11.7N 96.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.08.2020 12.2N 99.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.08.2020 13.4N 102.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.08.2020 15.0N 106.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 16.4N 109.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 18.1N 111.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.08.2020 19.6N 112.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.08.2020 21.1N 114.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 22.8N 116.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 21.08.2020 24.1N 118.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 30.3N 66.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.08.2020 30.8N 65.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 21.08.2020 31.1N 63.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150403