760 WTNT80 EGRR 141603 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.08.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 111.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2020 17.3N 111.6W WEAK 00UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L ANALYSED POSITION : 36.3N 74.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2020 36.3N 74.1W WEAK 00UTC 15.08.2020 37.7N 71.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.08.2020 38.4N 67.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2020 39.2N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 40.0N 59.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 40.5N 55.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 41.1N 51.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N 116.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2020 13.4N 116.4W WEAK 00UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 54.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2020 16.1N 54.2W WEAK 00UTC 15.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N 132.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2020 13.6N 132.4W WEAK 00UTC 15.08.2020 13.6N 132.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.08.2020 13.4N 133.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2020 13.6N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.08.2020 14.1N 133.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 14.6N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 15.3N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 16.1N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 16.4N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 16.1N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2020 15.3N 136.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2020 14.1N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 13.0N 136.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 10.7N 140.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2020 10.3N 140.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.08.2020 10.1N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2020 10.2N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2020 10.5N 141.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2020 11.6N 142.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 13.2N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 14.5N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2020 15.6N 146.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2020 16.6N 148.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 17.0N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.1N 92.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2020 11.1N 92.1W WEAK 12UTC 16.08.2020 11.6N 96.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.08.2020 12.5N 99.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.08.2020 13.8N 102.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.08.2020 15.3N 105.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2020 16.9N 107.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2020 18.5N 109.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.08.2020 20.0N 111.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.08.2020 21.5N 112.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2020 22.7N 114.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141603