000
WTNT80 EGRR 091603

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.08.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N  25.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2020  11.4N  25.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 104.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2020  16.4N 104.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.08.2020  17.7N 107.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2020  18.7N 109.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2020  19.8N 112.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2020  20.3N 115.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2020  20.6N 118.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2020  20.8N 120.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2020  21.1N 121.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2020  21.1N 123.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 12.8N 128.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.08.2020  12.8N 128.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.08.2020  13.2N 129.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2020  14.3N 130.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2020  14.8N 132.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2020  15.9N 134.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2020  16.6N 137.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2020  15.8N 141.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2020  14.5N 143.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 16.6N 119.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2020  16.6N 119.6W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091603