017 WTNT80 EGRR 311604 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.07.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 19.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL932020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2020 14.4N 19.5W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE ISAIAS ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 73.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2020 21.6N 73.9W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2020 23.0N 76.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2020 24.1N 78.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2020 25.0N 79.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2020 25.9N 80.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2020 27.0N 81.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2020 28.3N 81.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2020 30.2N 81.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2020 32.7N 79.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.08.2020 36.5N 78.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2020 40.9N 75.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2020 46.5N 70.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 36.7N 49.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.08.2020 36.6N 47.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 04.08.2020 36.0N 45.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2020 35.5N 44.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2020 35.3N 43.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311604