239 
WTNT80 EGRR 281602

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.07.2020

        TROPICAL STORM 92L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.9N  54.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2020  12.9N  54.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS    ANALYSED POSITION : 23.9N 165.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2020  23.9N 165.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2020  24.6N 169.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2020  24.8N 173.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 15.3N  61.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.07.2020  15.3N  61.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.07.2020  16.7N  63.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2020  18.0N  66.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.07.2020  18.9N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2020  20.0N  70.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2020  20.8N  73.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2020  21.9N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2020  23.3N  76.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2020  24.9N  77.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.08.2020  26.5N  78.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.08.2020  28.1N  78.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 15.2N 123.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.07.2020  15.6N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.08.2020  16.2N 125.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2020  17.0N 125.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2020  17.5N 126.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 12.2N 134.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2020  12.2N 134.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2020  12.6N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2020  12.5N 137.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281602