483 
WTNT80 EGRR 050401

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.07.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05L        ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N  67.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.07.2020  32.2N  67.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.7N 115.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2020  15.2N 115.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2020  15.2N 117.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2020  15.3N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2020  15.5N 119.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2020  15.8N 119.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 33.5N  78.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2020  33.5N  78.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.07.2020  33.4N  76.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2020  33.9N  74.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2020  34.7N  73.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2020  35.7N  73.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2020  37.2N  73.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 12.4N 125.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2020  12.4N 125.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.07.2020  12.8N 123.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2020  14.0N 121.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2020  16.2N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2020  16.7N 121.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050400