154 WTNT80 EGRR 021600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.07.2020 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 35.6N 66.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.07.2020 35.6N 66.7W WEAK 00UTC 03.07.2020 38.1N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2020 41.1N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2020 43.9N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 26.9N 177.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.07.2020 26.9N 177.2W WEAK 12UTC 05.07.2020 27.3N 176.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2020 27.4N 175.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.07.2020 28.6N 174.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2020 30.8N 173.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.07.2020 34.1N 175.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.07.2020 37.5N 177.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.07.2020 41.0N 179.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.3N 103.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.07.2020 14.6N 105.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.07.2020 15.8N 107.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021600