000
WTNT80 EGRR 250405

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.01.2020

        TROPICAL STORM KURUMI     ANALYSED POSITION : 29.0S  40.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : SA012020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.01.2020  29.0S  40.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 25.01.2020  36.2S  36.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.01.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 23.0S  34.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.01.2020  24.3S  33.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.01.2020  27.0S  30.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.01.2020  29.4S  27.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.01.2020  32.4S  24.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.01.2020  34.9S  20.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.01.2020  37.5S  13.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.01.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 250405