656 
WTNT80 EGRR 161559

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.11.2019

        TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 111.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.11.2019  16.0N 111.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.11.2019  17.0N 111.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019  18.8N 110.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  20.9N 110.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2019  23.1N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2019  25.8N 112.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21E        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.2N  99.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.11.2019   9.2N  99.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.11.2019   9.4N 101.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019  10.2N 102.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  11.3N 103.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2019  12.4N 103.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2019  12.7N 104.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2019  13.4N 106.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2019  13.4N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2019  14.1N 108.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2019  14.5N 108.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.11.2019  14.8N 109.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.11.2019  15.1N 110.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.11.2019  15.1N 110.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 30.9N  79.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.11.2019  30.5N  78.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2019  31.0N  74.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  33.4N  73.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2019  37.9N  70.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2019  42.3N  69.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2019  46.0N  69.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2019  48.9N  66.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.11.2019  49.4N  62.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161559