213 
WTNT80 EGRR 150358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.11.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 108.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2019  12.8N 108.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2019  13.9N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2019  15.0N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2019  16.0N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  17.5N 111.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019  19.5N 110.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  21.7N 110.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2019  24.4N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2019  27.1N 110.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 32.2N  77.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2019  32.2N  77.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.11.2019  30.9N  79.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.11.2019  31.2N  77.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2019  31.2N  75.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  33.6N  73.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2019  36.6N  71.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2019  42.2N  70.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2019  45.4N  71.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150358