861 
WTNT80 EGRR 131558

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.11.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 112.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.11.2019  11.4N 112.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.11.2019  11.4N 110.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2019  11.5N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2019  12.8N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2019  13.9N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2019  13.8N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2019  13.8N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  15.7N 112.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019  17.5N 112.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2019  18.8N 112.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2019  20.1N 113.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2019  21.1N 113.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2019  21.7N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 29.9N  79.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2019  29.9N  79.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.11.2019  32.3N  77.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2019  32.8N  74.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  32.6N  74.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2019  33.2N  74.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.11.2019  33.9N  70.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2019  38.3N  66.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2019  43.5N  60.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2019  45.2N  55.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.5N 132.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2019  13.6N 133.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2019  13.3N 134.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2019  13.2N 136.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 131558