864 
WTNT80 EGRR 210358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.10.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA  ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N 100.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.10.2019  18.3N 100.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 :  9.1N 140.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2019   9.1N 140.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.10.2019   9.1N 141.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2019   9.6N 143.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2019  10.2N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2019  10.7N 147.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2019  11.3N 150.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2019  12.2N 151.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2019  13.4N 153.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2019  14.6N 155.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2019  15.2N 157.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2019  15.4N 158.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2019  15.5N 159.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.1N 126.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.10.2019  11.4N 126.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2019  12.0N 127.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2019  12.2N 127.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2019  12.4N 127.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2019  12.2N 128.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2019  12.0N 128.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2019  11.9N 129.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2019  11.8N 129.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2019  11.6N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 26.7N  96.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.10.2019  26.9N  96.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210358