387 WTNT80 EGRR 200357 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.10.2019 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 31.5N 83.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.10.2019 31.5N 83.7W WEAK 12UTC 20.10.2019 34.5N 79.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 37.2N 75.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 37.7N 72.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 126.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.10.2019 11.1N 126.4W WEAK 12UTC 20.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90E ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 102.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP902019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.10.2019 18.9N 102.2W WEAK 12UTC 20.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 9.5N 137.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.10.2019 9.5N 137.1W WEAK 12UTC 20.10.2019 9.5N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 9.7N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 9.4N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2019 9.2N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2019 9.3N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2019 9.7N 144.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2019 10.5N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2019 11.9N 148.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2019 12.9N 151.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2019 13.8N 153.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2019 14.4N 155.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2019 15.2N 156.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 34.1N 31.2E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2019 33.8N 31.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 200357