246 
WTNT80 EGRR 190357

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.10.2019

        TROPICAL STORM NESTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N  87.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.10.2019  27.5N  87.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 19.10.2019  29.1N  86.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2019  30.8N  83.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2019  34.5N  79.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2019  36.1N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2019  36.0N  71.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.10.2019  36.4N  68.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2019  37.0N  67.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE     ANALYSED POSITION : 11.3N 126.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.10.2019  11.3N 126.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.10.2019  12.0N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2019  12.0N 124.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2019  11.1N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2019  10.8N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2019  10.5N 123.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2019  11.3N 123.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2019  12.0N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2019  12.2N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2019  12.5N 122.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2019  12.8N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2019  13.3N 120.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2019  13.7N 119.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 :  9.7N 136.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2019  10.0N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2019  10.1N 137.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2019   9.8N 138.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2019   9.5N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2019   9.4N 140.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2019   9.2N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2019   9.2N 144.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2019   9.6N 146.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2019  10.3N 148.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2019  10.8N 150.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2019  11.5N 152.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2019  12.3N 153.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 190357