000 WTNT80 EGRR 161557 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 24.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.10.2019 17.2N 24.6W WEAK 00UTC 17.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMA ANALYSED POSITION : 24.9N 168.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.10.2019 24.9N 168.7W WEAK 00UTC 17.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 95.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.10.2019 15.5N 95.0W WEAK 00UTC 17.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 22.0N 96.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2019 22.0N 96.2W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2019 23.3N 94.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.10.2019 24.5N 91.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2019 27.2N 88.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2019 29.5N 85.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2019 31.8N 81.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.10.2019 34.9N 78.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 36.3N 73.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 36.7N 69.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2019 37.0N 64.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2019 34.6N 63.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.3N 128.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2019 10.6N 128.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2019 11.4N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2019 11.9N 127.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2019 11.6N 127.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 11.2N 128.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 11.1N 128.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2019 11.3N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2019 11.5N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 8.8N 142.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2019 8.8N 142.8W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 161557