300 WTNT80 EGRR 160358 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 93.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.10.2019 14.2N 93.3W WEAK 12UTC 16.10.2019 15.2N 95.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 23.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.10.2019 17.0N 23.2W WEAK 12UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 11.1N 125.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2019 11.1N 125.2W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2019 10.3N 125.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2019 10.0N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2019 10.6N 127.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2019 11.8N 127.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2019 12.9N 127.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2019 13.7N 127.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2019 13.7N 127.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 13.3N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 13.0N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2019 13.0N 129.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 22.4N 95.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2019 22.4N 95.8W WEAK 12UTC 18.10.2019 23.8N 93.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2019 26.8N 90.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2019 28.3N 89.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2019 30.3N 86.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2019 32.6N 83.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.10.2019 34.3N 79.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.10.2019 37.0N 76.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 18.1N 105.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2019 18.1N 105.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160358