637 WTNT80 EGRR 151555 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.6N 54.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 9.6N 54.2W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 94.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 13.7N 94.2W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.5N 168.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 29.5N 168.7W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15L ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 22.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 16.1N 22.2W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.2N 128.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2019 10.6N 129.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.10.2019 11.4N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2019 11.6N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2019 11.3N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 10.9N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 11.0N 129.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 26.1N 91.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.10.2019 26.8N 91.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.10.2019 27.6N 88.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2019 29.3N 86.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2019 31.7N 83.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2019 35.2N 78.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2019 37.2N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151555