169 WTNT80 EGRR 131555 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 16.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2019 14.0N 16.3W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E ANALYSED POSITION : 20.2N 113.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2019 20.2N 113.2W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2019 21.2N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM EMA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.1N 165.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2019 22.1N 165.7W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ANALYSED POSITION : 39.6N 61.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2019 39.6N 61.7W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2019 40.3N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 41.4N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2019 41.7N 47.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.3N 92.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 13.2N 94.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2019 14.2N 97.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2019 16.4N 99.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2019 17.4N 103.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2019 18.5N 105.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2019 20.0N 106.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.10.2019 21.4N 107.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2019 22.2N 106.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2019 23.2N 105.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.1N 21.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2019 15.1N 21.8W WEAK 00UTC 16.10.2019 16.7N 22.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2019 18.2N 22.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2019 20.6N 22.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131555