364 WTNT80 EGRR 121556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 97.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2019 11.5N 97.7W WEAK 00UTC 13.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 115.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2019 14.9N 115.5W WEAK 00UTC 13.10.2019 18.8N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2019 20.8N 113.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2019 21.8N 113.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM EMA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 163.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2019 19.4N 163.3W WEAK 00UTC 13.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ANALYSED POSITION : 38.1N 67.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2019 38.1N 67.5W MODERATE 00UTC 13.10.2019 38.6N 65.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2019 39.3N 62.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2019 40.1N 58.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2019 40.9N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2019 41.7N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2019 41.5N 43.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2019 40.9N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.9N 21.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.10.2019 13.9N 21.4W WEAK 12UTC 15.10.2019 14.2N 22.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2019 15.3N 22.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2019 16.9N 23.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2019 18.5N 23.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2019 19.7N 23.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2019 20.5N 24.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121556