575 
WTNT80 EGRR 120356

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N  98.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2019  13.5N  98.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 114.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2019  14.4N 114.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM MELISSA    ANALYSED POSITION : 37.7N  68.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2019  37.7N  68.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 12.10.2019  38.2N  67.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2019  38.5N  65.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2019  39.1N  62.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2019  39.5N  58.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2019  40.1N  54.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2019  40.9N  49.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2019  40.8N  44.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2019  39.7N  40.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.4N  19.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2019  15.1N  20.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.10.2019  15.8N  21.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2019  17.2N  21.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2019  19.1N  21.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2019  20.8N  20.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120356