585 
WTNT80 EGRR 101555

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2019

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.2N 115.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.10.2019  15.2N 115.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.10.2019  16.3N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2019  17.8N 116.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2019  19.6N 116.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2019  21.6N 115.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2019  23.2N 115.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.10.2019  23.8N 114.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2019  23.9N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101555