000
WTNT80 EGRR 081557

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.10.2019

        TROPICAL STORM 91L        ANALYSED POSITION : 31.9N  45.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.10.2019  31.9N  45.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.10.2019  31.2N  48.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2019  31.5N  49.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2019  31.4N  52.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 30.2N  76.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.10.2019  31.6N  74.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.10.2019  36.8N  70.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2019  38.1N  70.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2019  38.2N  69.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2019  39.2N  70.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2019  38.4N  71.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2019  37.9N  70.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2019  37.3N  69.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2019  37.0N  67.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2019  37.3N  62.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 15.0N 115.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.10.2019  15.0N 115.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.10.2019  16.7N 116.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2019  18.4N 116.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2019  20.3N 116.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2019  21.9N 116.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 28.1N 177.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2019  28.1N 177.7W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 081557