394 WTNT80 EGRR 060356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 129.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2019 17.0N 129.7W WEAK 12UTC 06.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 27.7N 56.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2019 27.7N 56.6W WEAK 12UTC 07.10.2019 26.9N 55.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2019 26.2N 56.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2019 25.5N 57.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2019 25.0N 58.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2019 24.4N 59.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 24.0N 60.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 23.7N 60.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 24.2N 60.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2019 24.8N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2019 25.7N 60.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 32.4N 42.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2019 33.9N 43.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2019 33.3N 47.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2019 32.5N 49.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2019 31.6N 51.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 31.6N 52.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 31.8N 52.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2019 32.5N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2019 33.8N 56.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 33.7N 72.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2019 33.7N 72.8W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2019 34.2N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2019 35.3N 69.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2019 36.4N 70.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2019 37.5N 69.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2019 38.3N 71.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2019 37.7N 71.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 19.0N 166.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2019 19.8N 166.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2019 21.9N 165.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060356