000
WTNT80 EGRR 021557

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2019

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 124.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2019  14.0N 124.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.10.2019  14.2N 124.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2019  13.7N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2019  13.9N 125.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2019  14.6N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2019  15.3N 126.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2019  16.5N 126.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2019  17.5N 127.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.10.2019  18.3N 129.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2019  19.0N 131.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2019  19.3N 133.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2019  19.4N 136.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2019  19.1N 138.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 42.6N  28.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2019  42.6N  28.2W    STRONG
 00UTC 03.10.2019  48.9N  19.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2019  53.5N  13.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2019  54.2N   9.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2019  51.5N   3.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 13.9N 132.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.10.2019  13.9N 132.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.10.2019  13.1N 132.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2019  12.5N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2019  12.7N 132.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2019  12.8N 131.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2019  13.2N 131.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2019  13.6N 131.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2019  14.0N 131.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2019  14.8N 131.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2019  15.8N 132.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2019  16.9N 134.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 33.5N  43.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2019  33.5N  43.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.10.2019  34.9N  44.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021557