000 WTNT80 EGRR 020356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.10.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.1N 123.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2019 15.1N 123.4W WEAK 12UTC 02.10.2019 14.6N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2019 14.6N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2019 13.9N 125.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2019 14.7N 126.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2019 15.0N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2019 16.0N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2019 17.2N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2019 17.8N 128.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2019 18.6N 130.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2019 19.1N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2019 19.9N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LORENZO ANALYSED POSITION : 37.8N 34.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2019 37.8N 34.3W INTENSE 12UTC 02.10.2019 42.5N 28.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2019 48.8N 20.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2019 53.0N 12.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2019 53.6N 9.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.10.2019 50.9N 3.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.10.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 020356