607 
WTNT80 EGRR 291559

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.09.2019

             HURRICANE LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 25.6N  44.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2019  25.6N  44.8W   INTENSE
 00UTC 30.09.2019  26.9N  44.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2019  28.5N  43.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2019  30.4N  42.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2019  32.7N  40.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2019  35.8N  36.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2019  39.4N  31.0W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.10.2019  43.9N  24.1W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.10.2019  47.5N  16.4W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2019  49.0N   9.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2019  48.4N   5.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM NARDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 101.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2019  17.0N 101.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.09.2019  19.0N 104.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2019  21.8N 106.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2019  23.4N 108.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2019  24.2N 109.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2019  25.9N 110.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2019  27.5N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.8N 126.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.10.2019  15.8N 126.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.10.2019  16.1N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2019  15.9N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2019  15.4N 125.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2019  14.8N 125.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2019  14.9N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2019  15.0N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2019  15.0N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2019  15.0N 126.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.0N 140.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2019  14.5N 140.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2019  15.3N 139.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2019  15.7N 139.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291559