240 
WTNT80 EGRR 290357

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.09.2019

             HURRICANE LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 23.9N  44.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2019  23.9N  44.9W   INTENSE
 12UTC 29.09.2019  25.3N  45.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2019  26.7N  44.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2019  28.3N  43.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2019  30.1N  42.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 01.10.2019  32.3N  40.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2019  35.5N  36.3W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.10.2019  39.4N  31.1W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.10.2019  44.4N  23.9W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.10.2019  49.5N  15.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2019  54.1N   8.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2019  POST-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM 16E        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 100.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.09.2019  15.3N 100.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.09.2019  16.7N 102.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2019  18.5N 104.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2019  20.8N 106.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2019  22.4N 108.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2019  23.8N 109.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2019  25.6N 110.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2019  28.3N 110.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.5N 141.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.10.2019  13.5N 141.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.10.2019  14.1N 141.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2019  15.3N 141.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2019  16.1N 141.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2019  16.6N 141.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2019  16.6N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2019  16.7N 143.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 290357