921 WTNT80 EGRR 240356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.09.2019 TROPICAL STORM JERRY ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N 68.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2019 28.9N 68.4W MODERATE 12UTC 24.09.2019 30.1N 69.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2019 30.7N 68.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2019 31.4N 67.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2019 31.7N 65.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2019 31.9N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2019 32.5N 65.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2019 32.0N 65.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 65.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2019 15.9N 65.6W WEAK 12UTC 24.09.2019 17.8N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2019 20.1N 65.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2019 22.2N 64.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2019 24.9N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2019 27.3N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2019 29.1N 60.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2019 31.0N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2019 32.8N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2019 33.3N 64.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2019 33.9N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2019 33.0N 68.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2019 33.3N 68.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM KIKO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 137.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2019 16.5N 137.2W WEAK 12UTC 24.09.2019 17.7N 138.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2019 18.8N 140.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2019 19.4N 141.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 26.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2019 11.1N 26.3W WEAK 12UTC 24.09.2019 12.2N 28.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2019 13.0N 31.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2019 13.5N 34.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2019 14.4N 37.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2019 15.3N 39.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2019 17.2N 41.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.09.2019 19.3N 42.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.09.2019 20.7N 44.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2019 21.9N 45.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2019 23.3N 45.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2019 24.5N 45.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2019 25.5N 46.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 13.6N 139.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2019 13.5N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 240356