000 WTNT80 EGRR 130358 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.09.2019 TROPICAL STORM KIKO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 112.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2019 16.4N 112.7W WEAK 12UTC 13.09.2019 16.4N 114.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2019 17.2N 116.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2019 17.5N 117.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2019 17.7N 119.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2019 17.8N 121.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2019 18.3N 123.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2019 18.5N 124.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 19.0N 126.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 19.7N 127.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2019 20.3N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 20.9N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 21.1N 133.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 23.6N 75.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2019 23.6N 75.0W WEAK 12UTC 13.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 13.2N 132.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2019 13.2N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2019 13.6N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2019 13.5N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2019 13.2N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2019 13.4N 132.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2019 13.8N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2019 14.1N 132.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 14.8N 131.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 14.5N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 14.8N 130.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 15.4N 129.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 16.1N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.7N 148.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2019 12.5N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2019 13.4N 149.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2019 13.6N 151.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2019 13.6N 152.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2019 14.3N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2019 14.4N 154.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2019 15.1N 155.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 15.6N 155.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 16.5N 155.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 27.8N 78.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2019 27.8N 78.4W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2019 29.0N 79.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2019 30.1N 78.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2019 30.3N 77.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2019 30.5N 76.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2019 30.7N 74.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2019 30.9N 72.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2019 31.2N 69.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2019 32.0N 66.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 12.2N 49.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2019 12.2N 49.5W WEAK 00UTC 18.09.2019 13.3N 51.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 13.5N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 14.3N 54.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.5N 37.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2019 15.5N 37.5W WEAK 00UTC 18.09.2019 16.1N 39.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 17.2N 42.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 18.4N 44.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 17.6N 166.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2019 17.6N 166.4W WEAK 00UTC 18.09.2019 17.5N 166.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2019 18.2N 166.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2019 19.3N 167.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130358