677 WTNT80 EGRR 080358 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.09.2019 HURRICANE DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 45.3N 62.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2019 45.3N 62.8W INTENSE 12UTC 08.09.2019 49.3N 60.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 51.5N 55.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 54.2N 49.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.5N 130.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2019 24.5N 130.1W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2019 24.5N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 24.5N 134.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 24.5N 136.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 32.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2019 15.4N 32.5W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION AKONI ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 158.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2019 11.5N 158.3W WEAK 12UTC 08.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 47.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2019 32.0N 47.0W MODERATE 12UTC 08.09.2019 33.3N 48.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2019 35.9N 49.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 39.1N 48.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 42.5N 43.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 45.5N 35.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.09.2019 47.1N 28.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 16.1N 114.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2019 16.3N 116.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.09.2019 16.4N 118.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2019 17.1N 120.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 25.8N 146.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2019 25.8N 146.2W WEAK 12UTC 13.09.2019 25.5N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2019 25.3N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.5N 37.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2019 14.9N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2019 16.2N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.7N 158.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2019 15.7N 158.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 37.3N 8.2E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2019 38.6N 8.0E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 080358