383 WTNT80 EGRR 071558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.09.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 30.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 15.2N 30.1W WEAK 00UTC 08.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION AKONI ANALYSED POSITION : 11.3N 154.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 11.3N 154.6W WEAK 00UTC 08.09.2019 11.9N 156.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 12.3N 159.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 13.4N 162.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 15.3N 166.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 16.5N 169.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 17.3N 172.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2019 18.0N 174.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2019 17.7N 176.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2019 17.3N 177.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2019 16.9N 178.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2019 16.4N 178.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2019 16.4N 178.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 41.0N 66.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 41.0N 66.8W INTENSE 00UTC 08.09.2019 45.5N 62.9W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 49.3N 60.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 51.4N 55.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 54.7N 48.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.1N 43.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 31.1N 43.7W MODERATE 00UTC 08.09.2019 32.0N 46.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 33.8N 48.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2019 36.4N 49.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 39.9N 47.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 43.5N 42.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 46.4N 33.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.09.2019 47.5N 25.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 127.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 24.2N 127.8W WEAK 00UTC 08.09.2019 24.2N 130.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 23.9N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 23.9N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 24.1N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 26.2N 146.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2019 26.2N 146.2W WEAK 00UTC 13.09.2019 26.3N 147.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2019 26.4N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 14.7N 119.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2019 14.7N 120.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 37.3N 4.6E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2019 37.3N 5.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071558