247 WTNT80 EGRR 070358 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.09.2019 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 27.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2019 15.2N 27.8W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE DORIAN ANALYSED POSITION : 37.3N 71.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2019 37.3N 71.5W STRONG 12UTC 07.09.2019 41.0N 66.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 45.4N 62.8W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 49.2N 61.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 51.1N 56.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.09.2019 54.4N 49.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 29.1N 40.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2019 29.1N 40.1W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2019 30.9N 43.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 31.9N 46.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 33.6N 48.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2019 36.3N 48.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 39.4N 46.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2019 42.5N 42.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 45.1N 35.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.09.2019 46.3N 27.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 125.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112019 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2019 23.5N 125.6W MODERATE 12UTC 07.09.2019 23.9N 127.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 24.2N 130.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2019 24.1N 132.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 24.1N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 24.2N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 24.0N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 12.1N 152.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2019 11.7N 153.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2019 11.9N 156.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2019 12.1N 159.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2019 13.0N 162.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2019 13.9N 166.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2019 15.5N 169.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2019 16.7N 173.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2019 17.6N 176.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2019 17.9N 178.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2019 18.0N 179.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2019 17.2N 179.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2019 17.2N 179.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 14.9N 115.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.09.2019 15.0N 116.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070358